Markium Logo
MARKET
PRE-IPO
TRADE
LEADERBOARD
Live
Active

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
YES
+2.5%
0¢
$0.02 per share
Probability2%
NO
-1.8%
0¢
$0.98 per share
Probability98%
Volume 24h
$787.9K
Liquidity
$563.4K
Traders
1,247
End Date
Sep 17, 2025
Balance: $0
$
Price per share$
Estimated shares
Potential return+$

📑 My Orders

Please connect your wallet to view orders

Order Book

Price
Size
Total
$0.495
1,043
5,299
$0.490
741
4,256
$0.485
597
3,515
$0.480
679
2,918
$0.475
233
2,239
$0.470
913
2,006
$0.465
345
1,093
$0.460
748
748
Spread: $0.010 (2.22%)
$0.450
365
365
$0.445
324
689
$0.440
217
907
$0.435
226
1,133
$0.430
896
2,029
$0.425
583
2,612
$0.420
852
3,464
$0.415
1,073
4,538
Total Bids:4,538
Total Asks:5,299

Recent Trades

Connecting...
Type
Price
Amount
User
Time

Waiting for trades...

Connecting to real-time data...

Total Trades
0
Avg Price
$0.000
Last Price
$0.000

Market Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2025 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution Criteria

  • • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden tests positive for COVID-19 before November 3rd, 2020, 11:59 PM ET.
  • • The test must be confirmed by official sources (White House, Biden campaign, or credible news outlets).
  • • Antibody tests showing past infection do not count - only active infection tests.
  • • If the election date changes, the resolution date will adjust accordingly.
  • • Market will resolve to "No" if Biden does not test positive by the deadline.

Market Rules

  • • All trades are final once executed
  • • Market may be paused in case of extraordinary circumstances
  • • Resolution will be based on credible, verifiable sources
  • • Disputes will be resolved by market moderators
  • • Trading fees: 2% on profits

Market Details

Created By

PM
PredictionMarkets
Verified Creator✓

Category

Important Dates

Created:October 15, 2020
Ends:Wednesday, September 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Resolution:Within 24 hours of end date
$787880.9456030001
Total Volume
1,247
Total Traders
$563358.5657
Liquidity
26
Days Left

Related Markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?

52¢$45,000
Will there be a recession in 2024?

Will there be a recession in 2024?

38¢$28,000
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in 2024?

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in 2024?

65¢$67,000
Will AI replace 50% of jobs by 2030?

Will AI replace 50% of jobs by 2030?

23¢$15,000
Buy YesNaN¢