Introduction
Imagine investing your money in something, only to realize you misunderstood the rules. Sounds frustrating, right? This happens more often than you'd think. Most traders skip reading the details that define a yes/no resolution in prediction markets.
What Is the AI Rules Analyzer
The AI Rules Analyzer is a specialized tool that uses artificial intelligence to automatically read, interpret, and simplify the complex rules of a prediction market.
Every prediction market on platforms like Polymarket comes with a Rules section. This part tells you exactly what needs to happen for the market to resolve as "Yes" or "No."
The wording can sometimes be confusing, and that’s where traders lose money because they fail to read the rules section carefully. That's why Markium built a custom LLM AI Rules Analyzer feature to solve the problem by providing an easy way to understand the breakdown of the rules section.
Why the Rules Matter
They define the exact win condition.
The Rules tell you exactly what must happen for a market to resolve “Yes” or “No.”
Misunderstanding a single phrase, like what counts as an “official announcement” can lead you to pick the wrong side.
They specify timing and deadlines.
Rules include dates, time zones, and cutoffs. If you miss the exact timestamp, your prediction may be outside the resolution window, even if the event happens the next day.They name valid sources and resolvers.
Rules often state whose announcement counts (a government, an agency, or wide consensus of credible media). That determines which reports actually resolve the market.They reveal how ambiguity is handled.
Some markets accept “wide consensus,” while others require a formal government declaration. Rules clarify how interpretable or subjective situations will be judged.They indicate who can challenge or propose resolutions.
Knowing resolution mechanics (challenge windows, bonds, oracles) tells you how disputes are resolved and your options if you disagree with a proposed outcome.They affect strategy and timing for trades.
Understanding the rule details helps you decide when to enter or exit a position, how long to hold, and whether the market’s wording favors short-term momentum or long-term outcomes.They help to reduce the risk.
Clear rules protect you from misinterpreting and help you verify the news sources before trading, turning guesswork into informed decisions.
Example of rules
Event; When will Israel announce ceasefire?
Source; https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-israel-announce-ceasefire?tid=1760013459766
Polymarket "When will Israel announce ceasefire?" Rules show the kind of language that trips traders up, it requires an official, mutually agreed halt in military engagement, excludes humanitarian pauses, and accepts a wide consensus of credible media as sufficient in some situations.
In simple terms that matters because:
Official announcement; statements from Israel (primary source).
Humanitarian pause; not enough, it must be a formal, mutual ceasefire.
Wide consensus of credible media; if many major outlets report the official announcement, that may be enough to resolve the market.
The rules above might feel overwhelming and hard to dissect,but with the MarkiumPro AI Rule Analyzer simplifies the process by breaking them into clear, easy-to-read summary, saving you time and effort.
How to use Markium AI Rules Analyzer step-by-step
1. Go to Markiumpro.com, navigate to the ‘AI Analyzer’ tab and select ‘AI Rules Analyzer’
2. You can choose the event from trending Markets or Paste any prediction market title, question or the event link (URL).
For this guide, I'll use the Polymarket event, "When will Israel announce a ceasefire?"
polymarket.com/event/when-will-israel-announce-ceasefire?tid=1760013459766 as an example.
Copy the event URL and paste into the input box.
3. Click the Enter button /Analyze, The tool will process and analyze the market rules and produce a breakdown summary.
4. Read the analyzer summary carefully. Look for three things, what qualifies as “Yes,” what explicitly does not count, and any ambiguous wording flagged by the tool.
5. Check the tool’s flags, if the analyzer says a clause is ambiguous, follow the recommendation. check the resolver, official sources, or market discussion.
Kindly note, the analysis focuses on the RULE INTERPRETATION, Not Outcome Prediction. Always verify the rules on the official Polymarket page before taking any step.
The summary is designed to help you understand the rules with ease, not to provide exact outcomes. Always follow the news closely, If the wording requires an official statement, track the relevant official channels and stay updated.
Conclusion
Successful trading isn't just about predicting the event, rather it's about clearly understanding the rules of the game. By using a tool like the Markium AI Rules Analyzer, you shift the focus into making strategic decisions. It’s the simplest way to ensure that your trades are based on insight, not oversight.
In prediction markets, reading the Rules isn’t optional, it’s essential.
Try the AI Rules Analyzer now, Markiumpro AI Rule Analyzer